Systematic Review on Deep Learning Algorithms for Blood Glucose Forecasting in Type 1 Diabetes

Authors: Andrea Calzavara; Francesco Prendin; Giacomo Cappon; Simone Del Favero; Andrea Facchinetti

Summary

Type 1 Diabetes (T1D) is a chronic metabolic disease characterized by elevated blood glucose (BG) concentrations, resulting from the immune-mediated destruction of insulin-producing β-cells in the pancreas. Effective management of T1D greatly benefits from constant monitoring of BG levels, achievable in real-time using minimally invasive continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) devices. These devices provide data streams that can be leveraged by forecasting algorithms to predict BG levels minutes in advance, enabling timely therapeutic interventions to prevent adverse events, such as hypo/hyperglycemia. With the increasing availability of data, deep learning (DL) algorithms have emerged as the state-of-the-art for BG forecasting, owing to their ability to autonomously learn complex nonlinear relationships, such as those underlying the glucoregulatory system. Despite a growing body of research, a comprehensive review specifically focusing on DL applications for BG prediction is still lacking. To address this gap, a systematic review was conducted following the PRISMA guidelines, involving extensive searches across PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science databases. A total of 26 studies satisfied the inclusion criteria and were evaluated based on dataset characteristics, model inputs, training paradigm, prediction horizon, model architecture, evaluation metrics, performance, and baseline comparators. While DL models show great promise, several challenges persist—particularly in ensuring physiological fidelity and interpretability, both essential for clinical adoption. To overcome these barriers, future research should prioritize the integration of explainable AI (XAI) techniques to improve model reliability and safety, ultimately supporting the effective deployment of DL models in real-time T1D management.

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